15-05-2025, 04:23 PM
HBC LIVE COVERAGE - HUTORI DECIDES: 5642 ELECTION NIGHT
Hosted by Vanessa Taylor
Broadcast Live from the HBC National Desk, Bekenial, April 5642
Vanessa Taylor:
Welcome to Election Night, Hutori. I’m Vanessa Taylor, and you’re watching a political earthquake as it unfolds. I'm joined tonight by our chief political analyst Arthur Koresh and our chief pollster Jasmyn Ilari. We'll start with the basics. At dissolution, the Conservatives held a massive majority mandate, 188 seats total. The Opposition National Labour Party held 63, the Greens 43, the Liberals 39 and the Republicans held 7. Jasmyn how were the polls throughout the election?
Jasmyn Ilari:
Nothing that wasn't expected. Prime Minister Rosalyn Woodbury's Conservatives held steady in the extreme high thrities or early forties, at no point throughout the political campaign did another political party come within 15 point of catching the Conservatives. The opposition is so evenly divided it's not funny, all within the margin of error with one another. This is going to be critical due to the Senate elections which are based on vote share by province, not just running up the score or scoring a close race in your home riding. A party could potentially sweep a province on close races, and still be even in the Senate.
Arthur Koresh:
I have to say I was extremely impressed with the parties and their dual campaigning. You can tell that all five party are still trying to figure out the dynamics of running in each of Hutori's 343 ridings, while still focusing on each province to ensure they get their vote share up to make sure they get a slate of Senators. This will be an interesting dynamic for future elections and I can promise it won't be going away. This was everyone's test run of the new system, and we'll see how everyone had managed to adapt.
Vanessa Taylor:
Polls have officially closed on the Isle of Sutton and it's 16 seats in the House of Commons, and it's 12 seats in the Senate. At dissolution, the Greens held six seats, the Conservatives five, National Labour three and the Liberals two. Let's watch as the results have come in.
House Results – Isle of Sutton (16 seats):
Vanessa:
These are some interesting results straight from the get go. We knew that Jason LeClerc and the Greens have been trying to make the Island of Sutton theirs the way they dominate provinicially and it looks like it's finally making some headway. They've picked up two additional seats, one each from the Liberals and National Labour. That is some serious movement. They know have half the seats, and look at this, picked up half of the Senate seats available to. Arthur thoughts?
Arthur Koresh:
It’s a story of transformation, Vanessa. Ten years ago, the Greens were a niche curiosity on Sutton. Now, they are the party of record. Environmental policy, academic youth turnout, and a surging distrust in legacy parties — it’s all culminated tonight.
Jasmyn Ilari:
They targeted ridings like St. Mary’s University, East Norwalk, and Sutton West Shore, and crushed it. Voter mobilization on climate and coastal protection gave them wins over even strong incumbents who have held these seats over multiple cycles. In Sutton South Maritime, where the Liberals were hoping for a hold, a dramatic recount finish saw Green Party candidate Sara Bhalani squeak through by 217 votes, flipping a long-time Liberal bastion. One Green MP-elect, 29-year-old marine biologist Evan Sorenson, won with over 50% in Cape Highwinds on the western shore. That's not a fluke — that’s a mandate.
Vanessa:
The Republicans are continuing to be locked out, barely getting five percent of the vote province wide. Sutton has shut the door on them.
Arthur:
This is no longer a protest vote province. It’s Green territory now — and they’re growing roots.
Vanessa Taylor:
Now let’s move across the frigid straits to the battered, beautiful battleground that is Roccato. A province of contrast — steel towns, university enclaves, northern resource ridings. At dissolution, the Conservatives held fourteen seats, Labour eight, Greens six and the Liberals two.
House Results – Roccato (31 seats):
Vanessa:
Some big headlines here. It looks like the Conservatives completely held the line, didn't lose a single seat, and they picked up the largest Senate caucus, grabbing five of the twelve seats up for grabs. The big headline here? Now-former Premier Evelyn Markham has successfully won her race for Roccato Straits.
Jasmyn Ilari:
She’s off to a good start. Roccato is her home province, she was probably hoping to grab at least one of the Conservatives seats and maybe one of the Liberal seats, but a pick up is a pick up, and offsets her loss on the Isle of Sutton. We also have confirmation that Rachel McKenna won her senate bid, so it's likely she'll be a key leader in the Senate caucus no matter what happens.
Arthur Koresh:
And Vanessa, don’t forget the Green miss in South Dalry Metro — they were 1.8% shy of flipping one of the National Labour seat. That might haunt them. Every vote mattered here. The Conservatives nearly lost Caldwell Plains, a rural stronghold, after a shocking insurgent Republican campaign split their vote. But a last-minute door-to-door blitz from local MLA Greg Mason likely saved them by just 800 votes.
Vanessa:
And how about the Liberals? Two seats. Barely. They’ve flatlined in Roccato. Jack Delamont couldn't bring any more fortunes to the Liberals here.
Arthur:
They’re holding on by fingernails. In Northern Port Devereaux, one of the industrial towns near Kincardine, it took a three-way split for the Liberals to survive. They’re a legacy brand without a pulse here.
Vanessa:
And let’s not even talk about the Republicans.
Jasmyn:
There’s nothing to talk about. Their last candidate in Roccato, a former staffer to Marie Kincaid, conceded halfway through the debate and endorsed the Conservative.
Vanessa:
Brutal. Before pivot to Kenai we'll take a quick glance at the current seat totals.
Total House of Commons Seats:
Vanessa:
This is definitely an interesting result thus far. The Conservatives are where they were, the Greens are still holding second and are one up, and National Labour is where they started, with the Liberals down one. But the Senate results are far more interesting. Despite only electing 2 MPs in all of Roccato, you can see under the surface they still have wide support across the province as they hold 3 Senate seats, just as many MPs. This was the dynamic we were waiting for. Alright, let's go to Kenai.
Kenai… land of cold ambition, platinum blonde ski lodges, coastal tech corridors, and the fiercest political knife fights in the nation. At dissolution the Conservatives held an extremely clear majority, hold 39 of the seats in the province, National Labour anchored by thirteen, the Liberals had ten, the Greens six and four of the remaining Republicans were from here. The Liberals began a fairly recent surge here with both Liberal Leader Jack Delamont spending the majority of his time on the campaign trail, and former Prime Minister Kensington everywhere across the province, likely in an attempt to boost the vote share. Let's see how it all played out.
House Results – Kenai (72 seats):
Vanessa:
Let’s get it out of the way: Former Prime Minister Michael Kensington, after eight years in the wilderness, has pulled off a crushing Senate win in Kenai. He polled like a rock star and strutted into the Liberal victory party like the prom king no one likes but everyone still wants to be friends with.
Arthur Koresh:
He couldn’t take back the Liberal leadership—yet. But this was about dominance. His Senate win and a four-seat pickup for the Liberals in Kenai screams “don’t count me out.”
Jasmyn Ilari:
Vanessa, the Liberals didn’t just claw back relevance in Kenai—they made some breakthroughs some people wrote off. There was some real worry that Kenai was going to become a Conservative stronghold, the way Adelia is, and although the Conservatives still dominant throughout the province, it's no longer a sure thing. They lost four seats overall, all to the Liberals, in either St. Anslem or St. Adrian. The bleeding would be worse if it weren't for two Republicans biting the bullet and the Conservatives snatching up those seats.
Arthur Koresh:
Kenai River Bay West in St. Adrian saw the biggest upset as Liberal star Kiera Ames beat a two-term Conservative MP by 1,600 votes. Kensington reportedly called her personally before the final results even came in. Expect that ticket to get some play.
Vanessa:
I know that Evelyn Markham can't be happy. She lost another seat to the Greens, one of their final seats in rural Kenai, this one in Kenai Central Valley. This has got to sting. Markham is a great labour organizer, but this night is reinforcing consistently that Labour is quickly becoming an urban party.
Jasmyn Ilari:
I know I keep harping on this, but the Senate results, these continue to be fascinating. The Conservatives are still leading, they picked up five seats in the Senate, and despite the seat disparity in the House, the Liberals were right behind, grabbing four seats themselves. The last three were split between National Labour and the Green, who took two and one respectfully.
Arthur Koresh:
I take it no one is going to take about the elephant in the room; the Republicans for the third straight province couldn't qualify for a single seat in the Senate. They missed the threshold by half a percent. Combine that with the two losses in the House, unless the Republicans can turn this around they'll go from a Mini-Van Caucus to a Sedan Caucus.
Vanessa:
Before we go into the Adelian heartland, let's get an updated seat count.
Total House of Commons Seats:
Vanessa:
The results are more or less where we were four years ago. The Conservatives are net down one, National Labour is down net one. But the big story is is the Liberals seem to be gaining some steam, as are the Greens, and despite it only being two, the Republicans have lost half of their otherwise elected seats up to this point.
Arthur Koresh:
These Senate seats must be depressing for the Republicans. Kenai is one of their strongest provinces and still nothing. The Conservatives are proving their strength, leading in the Senate, and the Greens have the second largest Senate caucus thus far; despite being third in House seats, second in the Senate, likely what Jason LeClerc was counting on. The Liberals story is about what we expected, but those National Labour results are weak; they are still on course to form the Official Opposition in the House, but in the Senate, unless they find a raft of votes somewhere out there, you can tell they are going to be weak.
Vanessa:
Alright, we'll take a short break and return to you shortly for more election night coverage.
Hosted by Vanessa Taylor
Broadcast Live from the HBC National Desk, Bekenial, April 5642
![[Image: CBC-Canada-Votes-2025.jpg]](https://broadcastdialogue.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/CBC-Canada-Votes-2025.jpg)
Vanessa Taylor:
Welcome to Election Night, Hutori. I’m Vanessa Taylor, and you’re watching a political earthquake as it unfolds. I'm joined tonight by our chief political analyst Arthur Koresh and our chief pollster Jasmyn Ilari. We'll start with the basics. At dissolution, the Conservatives held a massive majority mandate, 188 seats total. The Opposition National Labour Party held 63, the Greens 43, the Liberals 39 and the Republicans held 7. Jasmyn how were the polls throughout the election?
Jasmyn Ilari:
Nothing that wasn't expected. Prime Minister Rosalyn Woodbury's Conservatives held steady in the extreme high thrities or early forties, at no point throughout the political campaign did another political party come within 15 point of catching the Conservatives. The opposition is so evenly divided it's not funny, all within the margin of error with one another. This is going to be critical due to the Senate elections which are based on vote share by province, not just running up the score or scoring a close race in your home riding. A party could potentially sweep a province on close races, and still be even in the Senate.
Arthur Koresh:
I have to say I was extremely impressed with the parties and their dual campaigning. You can tell that all five party are still trying to figure out the dynamics of running in each of Hutori's 343 ridings, while still focusing on each province to ensure they get their vote share up to make sure they get a slate of Senators. This will be an interesting dynamic for future elections and I can promise it won't be going away. This was everyone's test run of the new system, and we'll see how everyone had managed to adapt.
Vanessa Taylor:
Polls have officially closed on the Isle of Sutton and it's 16 seats in the House of Commons, and it's 12 seats in the Senate. At dissolution, the Greens held six seats, the Conservatives five, National Labour three and the Liberals two. Let's watch as the results have come in.
House Results – Isle of Sutton (16 seats):
- Greens – 8 (+2)
- Conservatives – 5 (–)
- Labour – 2 (–1)
- Liberals – 1 (–1)
- Republicans – 0 (–)
- Greens – 6
- Conservatives – 4
- Labour – 1
- Liberals – 1
- Republicans – 0
Vanessa:
These are some interesting results straight from the get go. We knew that Jason LeClerc and the Greens have been trying to make the Island of Sutton theirs the way they dominate provinicially and it looks like it's finally making some headway. They've picked up two additional seats, one each from the Liberals and National Labour. That is some serious movement. They know have half the seats, and look at this, picked up half of the Senate seats available to. Arthur thoughts?
Arthur Koresh:
It’s a story of transformation, Vanessa. Ten years ago, the Greens were a niche curiosity on Sutton. Now, they are the party of record. Environmental policy, academic youth turnout, and a surging distrust in legacy parties — it’s all culminated tonight.
Jasmyn Ilari:
They targeted ridings like St. Mary’s University, East Norwalk, and Sutton West Shore, and crushed it. Voter mobilization on climate and coastal protection gave them wins over even strong incumbents who have held these seats over multiple cycles. In Sutton South Maritime, where the Liberals were hoping for a hold, a dramatic recount finish saw Green Party candidate Sara Bhalani squeak through by 217 votes, flipping a long-time Liberal bastion. One Green MP-elect, 29-year-old marine biologist Evan Sorenson, won with over 50% in Cape Highwinds on the western shore. That's not a fluke — that’s a mandate.
Vanessa:
The Republicans are continuing to be locked out, barely getting five percent of the vote province wide. Sutton has shut the door on them.
Arthur:
This is no longer a protest vote province. It’s Green territory now — and they’re growing roots.
Vanessa Taylor:
Now let’s move across the frigid straits to the battered, beautiful battleground that is Roccato. A province of contrast — steel towns, university enclaves, northern resource ridings. At dissolution, the Conservatives held fourteen seats, Labour eight, Greens six and the Liberals two.
House Results – Roccato (31 seats):
- Conservatives – 14 (–)
- Labour – 9 (+1)
- Greens – 6 (–1)
- Liberals – 2 (–)
- Republicans – 0 (–)
- Conservatives – 5
- Labour – 3
- Greens – 2
- Liberals – 2
- Republicans – 0
Vanessa:
Some big headlines here. It looks like the Conservatives completely held the line, didn't lose a single seat, and they picked up the largest Senate caucus, grabbing five of the twelve seats up for grabs. The big headline here? Now-former Premier Evelyn Markham has successfully won her race for Roccato Straits.
Jasmyn Ilari:
She’s off to a good start. Roccato is her home province, she was probably hoping to grab at least one of the Conservatives seats and maybe one of the Liberal seats, but a pick up is a pick up, and offsets her loss on the Isle of Sutton. We also have confirmation that Rachel McKenna won her senate bid, so it's likely she'll be a key leader in the Senate caucus no matter what happens.
Arthur Koresh:
And Vanessa, don’t forget the Green miss in South Dalry Metro — they were 1.8% shy of flipping one of the National Labour seat. That might haunt them. Every vote mattered here. The Conservatives nearly lost Caldwell Plains, a rural stronghold, after a shocking insurgent Republican campaign split their vote. But a last-minute door-to-door blitz from local MLA Greg Mason likely saved them by just 800 votes.
Vanessa:
And how about the Liberals? Two seats. Barely. They’ve flatlined in Roccato. Jack Delamont couldn't bring any more fortunes to the Liberals here.
Arthur:
They’re holding on by fingernails. In Northern Port Devereaux, one of the industrial towns near Kincardine, it took a three-way split for the Liberals to survive. They’re a legacy brand without a pulse here.
Vanessa:
And let’s not even talk about the Republicans.
Jasmyn:
There’s nothing to talk about. Their last candidate in Roccato, a former staffer to Marie Kincaid, conceded halfway through the debate and endorsed the Conservative.
Vanessa:
Brutal. Before pivot to Kenai we'll take a quick glance at the current seat totals.
Total House of Commons Seats:
- - Conservatives: 19 Seats (-)
- - Greens: 14 Seats (+1)
- - National Labour: 11 Seats (-)
- - Liberals: 3 Seats (-1)
- - Republicans: 0 Seats (-)
- - Conservatives: 9 Seats
- - Greens: 8 Seats
- - National Labour: 4 Seats
- - Liberals: 3 Seats
- - Repubicans: 0 Seats
Vanessa:
This is definitely an interesting result thus far. The Conservatives are where they were, the Greens are still holding second and are one up, and National Labour is where they started, with the Liberals down one. But the Senate results are far more interesting. Despite only electing 2 MPs in all of Roccato, you can see under the surface they still have wide support across the province as they hold 3 Senate seats, just as many MPs. This was the dynamic we were waiting for. Alright, let's go to Kenai.
Kenai… land of cold ambition, platinum blonde ski lodges, coastal tech corridors, and the fiercest political knife fights in the nation. At dissolution the Conservatives held an extremely clear majority, hold 39 of the seats in the province, National Labour anchored by thirteen, the Liberals had ten, the Greens six and four of the remaining Republicans were from here. The Liberals began a fairly recent surge here with both Liberal Leader Jack Delamont spending the majority of his time on the campaign trail, and former Prime Minister Kensington everywhere across the province, likely in an attempt to boost the vote share. Let's see how it all played out.
House Results – Kenai (72 seats):
- Conservatives – 37 (-2)
- Liberals – 14 (+4)
- National Labour – 12 (-1)
- Greens – 7 (+1)
- Republicans – 2 (-2)
- Conservatives (37%) – 5
- Liberals (25%) – 4
- Labour (18%) – 2
- Greens (12%) – 1
- Republicans – 0
Vanessa:
Let’s get it out of the way: Former Prime Minister Michael Kensington, after eight years in the wilderness, has pulled off a crushing Senate win in Kenai. He polled like a rock star and strutted into the Liberal victory party like the prom king no one likes but everyone still wants to be friends with.
Arthur Koresh:
He couldn’t take back the Liberal leadership—yet. But this was about dominance. His Senate win and a four-seat pickup for the Liberals in Kenai screams “don’t count me out.”
Jasmyn Ilari:
Vanessa, the Liberals didn’t just claw back relevance in Kenai—they made some breakthroughs some people wrote off. There was some real worry that Kenai was going to become a Conservative stronghold, the way Adelia is, and although the Conservatives still dominant throughout the province, it's no longer a sure thing. They lost four seats overall, all to the Liberals, in either St. Anslem or St. Adrian. The bleeding would be worse if it weren't for two Republicans biting the bullet and the Conservatives snatching up those seats.
Arthur Koresh:
Kenai River Bay West in St. Adrian saw the biggest upset as Liberal star Kiera Ames beat a two-term Conservative MP by 1,600 votes. Kensington reportedly called her personally before the final results even came in. Expect that ticket to get some play.
Vanessa:
I know that Evelyn Markham can't be happy. She lost another seat to the Greens, one of their final seats in rural Kenai, this one in Kenai Central Valley. This has got to sting. Markham is a great labour organizer, but this night is reinforcing consistently that Labour is quickly becoming an urban party.
Jasmyn Ilari:
I know I keep harping on this, but the Senate results, these continue to be fascinating. The Conservatives are still leading, they picked up five seats in the Senate, and despite the seat disparity in the House, the Liberals were right behind, grabbing four seats themselves. The last three were split between National Labour and the Green, who took two and one respectfully.
Arthur Koresh:
I take it no one is going to take about the elephant in the room; the Republicans for the third straight province couldn't qualify for a single seat in the Senate. They missed the threshold by half a percent. Combine that with the two losses in the House, unless the Republicans can turn this around they'll go from a Mini-Van Caucus to a Sedan Caucus.
Vanessa:
Before we go into the Adelian heartland, let's get an updated seat count.
Total House of Commons Seats:
- - Conservatives: 56 Seats (-1)
- - National Labour: 23 Seats (-1)
- - Greens: 21 Seats (+2)
- - Liberals: 17 Seats (+3)
- - Republicans: 2 Seats (-2)
- - Conservatives: 14 Seats
- - Greens: 9 Seats
- - Liberals: 7 Seats
- - National Labour: 6 Seats
- - Republican: 0 Seats
Vanessa:
The results are more or less where we were four years ago. The Conservatives are net down one, National Labour is down net one. But the big story is is the Liberals seem to be gaining some steam, as are the Greens, and despite it only being two, the Republicans have lost half of their otherwise elected seats up to this point.
Arthur Koresh:
These Senate seats must be depressing for the Republicans. Kenai is one of their strongest provinces and still nothing. The Conservatives are proving their strength, leading in the Senate, and the Greens have the second largest Senate caucus thus far; despite being third in House seats, second in the Senate, likely what Jason LeClerc was counting on. The Liberals story is about what we expected, but those National Labour results are weak; they are still on course to form the Official Opposition in the House, but in the Senate, unless they find a raft of votes somewhere out there, you can tell they are going to be weak.
Vanessa:
Alright, we'll take a short break and return to you shortly for more election night coverage.
